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Fifth Debendification Announced – the 18

January 31st, 2010 by Tom

The other 2010 bendy contract award has been revealed by LOTS (back on 22/1/2010, actually).  The 18 will be going to conventional diesel double deckers from 13/11/2010 with a PVR upgrade from 32 to 48.  Let’s check back to our Bendy Replacement Timetable:

18    23-Aug-2003    23-Aug-2008    23-Aug-2010    32    49    23-Aug-2010

Unlike the 149, therefore, this is coming in bang on the money for our sizing prediction based on the 38.  I’m wondering if the 149 was a typo somewhere, since londonbusroutes suggests the revised PVR is now 35.  Let’s do another table (the 507/521/38 we had no data to predict from, the subsequent ones are based on the capacity figures from the 38 debendification consultation document).

  • Route  Original  Prediction  Real
  • 507   9   -  15
  • 521    19  -  32
  • 38     47  -  72
  • 149    27  41  35
  • 18      32   49  48

So the 149 is definitely seeing a capacity drop compared with the 38 and 18.  I wonder why.

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2 responses so far ↓

  • 1 Paul Prentice Jan 31, 2010 at 11:52 pm

    The 149 operates alongside the East London Line extension in part – from Dalston Junction to Shoreditch High Street. These buses were always packed to the rafters when I lived in Dalston, but when the extension opens on 4 April I imagine a great many people heading from Dalston to the Shoreditch area will switch to the Overground.

  • 2 Fraser Steen Feb 1, 2010 at 11:21 am

    I used to take the 18 to work everyday, the service was terrible. Frequently buses would be come 4 at a time then none for a while.

    It was ALWAYS rammed with people. Generally I am not a fan of bendys but in this case the route is almost straight down a main road, with very few awkward bits. I think this is the wrong thing to do.

    I can’t see how buses with a smaller capacity will improve the service.